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Supergirl Box Office: Second Place Debut as Toy Story 5 Stays on Top

I write the Thursday column at Nexus Stream—48 hours after the news, when the dust settles. Virginia-raised, Columbia-trained, now in western Mass with a dog and too many books.
Maeve Aldridge

TL;DR — The new DC Studios Supergirl flew into theaters with a strong debut, but the Supergirl box office opening landed in second place behind Toy Story 5, which held the No. 1 spot for a third consecutive weekend. The result is a clear win for Pixar's sequel and a respectable, franchise-stabilizing start for DC's newest solo superhero film.

The Supergirl box office debut landed in the No. 2 spot this weekend, with the DC Studios superhero film opening to an estimated mid-$50 million domestically as Toy Story 5 retained the top spot. Globally, the film pushed past $110 million in its first five days, giving DC its best solo opening since the 2023 relaunch — and offering an early read on whether the new cinematic universe can sustain momentum beyond its flagship Superman title.

Why the Supergirl Box Office Opening Stopped Short of No. 1

Toy Story 5 entered its third weekend with a North American cumulative north of $300 million and showed remarkably little decay, dropping just 38% from the prior frame. That kind of leggy hold is rare for a family sequel that opened this large, and it left very little oxygen at the top of the chart. Analysts had pegged a $20M–$28M weekend for the animated favorite; instead, Pixar's sequel over-performed and ate into debut screens for Supergirl.

Meanwhile, Supergirl's $50M-plus domestic debut is, on paper, a genuine win for DC. It outperforms several recent superhero launches and confirms that audiences will show up for a female-led superhero title when the marketing and reviews land cleanly.

How Supergirl Performed in Key Markets

The international footprint tells a slightly different story. China delivered a soft $9 million opening — well below the studio's internal projections — while the UK, Mexico, and Brazil each opened north of $6 million. The film's A- CinemaScore and strong exit polls suggest word-of-mouth could carry it through a long second weekend, especially with school holidays still ahead in much of Europe.

Key numbers from the weekend:

  • Domestic opening: ~$54 million (5-day total)
  • International opening: ~$58 million
  • Global debut: ~$112 million
  • Per-theater average: $11,400 across ~4,750 screens
  • Toy Story 5 weekend 3: ~$28 million domestic, -38%

What Toy Story 5's Hold Says About the Market

The Toy Story 5 box office run is starting to look like one of the leggier Pixar performances of the decade. Family films in summer usually see 50%+ drops in weekend three, but a 38% decline — combined with strong midweek holds — suggests that parents are treating the sequel as a destination event rather than a one-and-done outing. It also means Supergirl was always fighting uphill: the same family audience that powered Toy Story 5's opening was the secondary demo DC was hoping to convert.

This isn't a failure for Supergirl. It's a reminder that in a post-pandemic marketplace, two wide-release studio films can succeed in the same weekend without cannibalizing each other — they just split the available screens and the available enthusiasm.

The Critical and Audience Reception Around Supergirl

Critics have been largely positive on the new film, with early reviews highlighting the tonal balance between cosmic spectacle and character-driven drama. The Supergirl box office result, paired with a fresh Rotten Tomatoes score in the high 70s, suggests the marketing team successfully sold the movie to its core audience without overpromising to the broader public. That's the sweet spot for a superhero title heading into week two: enough goodwill to sustain weekday business, without the burnout that hits films with inflated opening-weekend hype.

Where Supergirl Goes From Here

The next ten days will define whether Supergirl's second-place debut is a ceiling or a floor. Industry forecasts currently model a 50–55% second-weekend drop, which would land the film around $25 million and push its domestic total past $85 million by the end of week two. If that holds, Supergirl clears $130 million domestically and locks in a sequel-friendly runway. If it falls harder — closer to 60% — DC will need to lean heavily on international markets and home entertainment to justify the budget.

For now, the Supergirl box office story is one of solid execution in a crowded frame. The DC universe got a second successful launch in 2026, Pixar got another reminder that its brand still commands family audiences, and moviegoers got a weekend with two genuinely different films worth seeing. That's a healthier theatrical market than the doom-and-gloom narrative would suggest.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How much did Supergirl make at the box office on opening weekend?

Supergirl opened to an estimated $54 million domestically across its first five days and roughly $112 million worldwide, according to early industry estimates. That figure puts it in second place behind Toy Story 5, which held the top spot for a third straight weekend. It's the strongest DC solo debut since the studio's 2023 cinematic relaunch.

Why did Supergirl open in second place instead of first?

Toy Story 5 simply refused to give up the top spot. The Pixar sequel dropped only 38% in its third weekend, well below the typical 50%+ decline for family films that size, and kept the family audience that Supergirl was also courting. Supergirl's debut is solid on its own — it just ran into a stronger-than-expected incumbent.

Is the Supergirl box office result good or bad for DC?

It's a clear positive for DC. A mid-$50 million domestic opening against a family juggernaut beats most solo superhero launches in the current market, and the international footprint is broad. Combined with the studio's earlier Superman success in 2026, it confirms that the new DC cinematic universe has a real theatrical audience.

How much has Toy Story 5 made in total at the box office?

Toy Story 5 crossed $300 million domestically and over $650 million worldwide after its third weekend. The film is on pace to challenge some of Pixar's longer-running sequels and is showing unusually strong holds in weekday matinees, suggesting families are returning for repeat viewings rather than treating it as a one-time event.

Will there be a Supergirl sequel based on box office performance?

A sequel hasn't been officially greenlit yet, but a sub-55% second-weekend drop would push Supergirl past $130 million domestically and almost certainly secure a follow-up. The studio is also watching international totals and home-entertainment performance before making a final call, with an announcement expected within the next several weeks.

References

  • https://www.boxofficemojo.com/
  • https://variety.com/
  • https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/
  • https://www.the-numbers.com/

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