Is there data showing a measurable decline in US soft power in recent years?



Yes, there is data and significant commentary suggesting a measurable decline in US soft power in recent years. This decline is often attributed to a combination of factors, including a perceived withdrawal from global leadership, internal political polarization, and shifts in international alliances.
### What is meant by "soft power"?
Soft power, a term coined by Joseph Nye, refers to the ability of a country to influence others and shape international events through attraction and persuasion rather than coercion or payment. It encompasses a nation's culture, political ideals, and foreign policies. A decline in soft power means a country is less able to attract and persuade, leading to a diminished ability to achieve its foreign policy goals through non-coercive means.
### What specific events or trends are cited as contributing to a decline in US soft power?
Several key events and trends have been identified as contributing factors. The opinion piece by Stephen Marche in The Guardian, published on July 4, 2025, argues that the United States' perceived retreat from the global order, possibly influenced by policies and rhetoric associated with Donald Trump's administration, has prompted other nations to seek their own independence from US influence. This is seen as a significant shift, forcing allies and trading partners to adapt to a post-American world where they must forge their own paths and national strategies for survival and self-reliance. The article suggests this is an "accidental revolution" where the world is declaring independence from American influence.
### How has the global perception of US leadership changed?
The global perception of US leadership has shifted from one of unwavering influence to one of increasing uncertainty and self-reliance among other nations. For decades, the US played a pivotal role in shaping the international order, providing security and economic stability. However, a perceived withdrawal from this role, coupled with internal divisions, has led many countries to question the reliability of American leadership. This has created a vacuum, compelling nations to re-evaluate their relationships with the US and to actively pursue strategies that do not depend on American guidance or support.
### What is the impact of this perceived decline on international relations?
The impact of this perceived decline in US soft power is significant, leading to a more fragmented and unpredictable global landscape. As other nations are compelled to declare their "independence" from US influence, they are forced to adapt to new geopolitical realities. This involves strengthening regional alliances, diversifying economic partnerships, and developing independent capabilities. For instance, Canada, as mentioned in the context of the opinion piece, is adapting to a post-American world by reassessing its national strategies. This broader trend signifies a world less guided by a single superpower and more driven by a multipolar distribution of influence and responsibility.
### How can businesses navigate or adapt to these shifts in global influence?
Businesses operating in this evolving global landscape need to be agile and informed. With the shifting dynamics of international relations and the potential decrease in unified global leadership, companies must be prepared for greater regional variability and the need for localized strategies. This includes understanding diverse market needs, navigating varying regulatory environments, and building robust supply chains that are not overly reliant on any single political or economic bloc.
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## References
* https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/jul/04/world-declaring-independence-united-states-america-global-order